Project · Phase 2 beta

Manufacturing
Independence
Index

An auditable policy instrument asking: how much of America's critical industrial base can the country actually make, source, staff, and sustain?

Think of the MII as a Big Mac Index for domestic production, with a serious audit trail underneath. A high score means U.S. factories, mines, workforce, and supply chains can cover strategic needs with less fragile dependence. A low score exposes where resilience is more slogan than capacity.

If global trade stopped tomorrow, how much of America's own critical stuff could it still make?

The four sub-indices

Raw materials. America's ability to source critical minerals domestically — from rare earth elements for electronics to lithium for batteries. Graphite and manganese, to pick two, are heavily imported.

Manufacturing readiness. The human side: workforce availability, technical capabilities, operational readiness, domestic value creation. We track vocational training, automation adoption, capacity utilization, and the share of a product's labor performed inside U.S. borders.

Strategic goods. Finished-product capacity in critical sectors — aerospace, transportation, energy, electronics, medical equipment, industrial essentials. The U.S. is famously vulnerable in semiconductor fabrication and battery production; it is stronger in aerospace and heavy machinery.

Supply chain. Even with domestic final assembly, networks matter: subcomponent self-sufficiency, supplier diversity, logistics independence, inventory stockpiling. Low scores here expose the hidden dependencies that make "Made in America" deceptively shallow.

Methodology track

The public score uses four weighted pillars: raw materials and minerals, strategic goods production, supply-chain independence, and manufacturing readiness. Each indicator is moving toward a canonical metric contract: numerator, denominator, source, date, confidence, geography, cadence, and update owner.

The goal is a release-disciplined measurement framework that lets a staffer, analyst, or policymaker see which bottlenecks are raw-material, strategic-goods, workforce, logistics, or data-confidence problems.

Status

MII is in Phase 2 beta. Phase 1 credibility work is implemented: the four-pillar structure, visible confidence and vintage, public limitations, historical snapshots, and driver-attribution demo. Current work is focused on methodology lock: canonical indicator tables, release notes, changelog discipline, analyst appendix export, exposure splits, scenario layers, and external reviewer recruitment.

Researchers, policymakers, congressional staff, industrial-base specialists, supply-chain analysts, and methodology reviewers interested in early access or criticism are welcome to get in touch.

Status
Phase 2 beta — methodology lock and analyst appendix in progress
Best reviewers
Critical minerals, defense industrial base, manufacturing economics, supply-chain data, and policy operations
Updates
Quarterly revisions, sub-index movement analysis, changelogged methodology releases, and one-page policy briefs
Collaboration
robert@malkarobert.com